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OVERVIEW: NFC EAST
by james campbell
           The Eagles once again appear to be the top team in the NFC for
    2005, however, I wouldn’t look for them to win 13 games this season
    due to the fact that each of the other teams in the NFC East should
    improve this year. A look at the Eagles schedule for 2005 reveals the
    fact that Philly will face the league’s third easiest schedule when
    considering the Eagles 2005 opponents combined for a 118-146
    straight up record last season.

           One would expect that with the Eagles posting a straight up
    record of 54-20 over the past four seasons that they would eventually
    have a bad draft due to having to choose from the draft leftovers,
    however, that has not been the case as the Eagles once again had a
    pretty good draft which is a testament to just how good HC Andy Reid
    is with regard to being able to wheel and deal in the draft as well as
    his ability to pick talent.

           The Eagles weren’t all that active in the free agent market but
    were able to snag a quality backup QB in Mike McMahon from Detroit
    who became expendable when the Lions picked up QB Jeff Garcia. It
    should be no surprise that the Lions picked up Garcia when
    considering that Garcia was Detroit HC Steve Mariucci’s QB when
    both were in San Francisco.

           Cowboy HC Bill Parcells used free agency to bring in RB Anthony
    Thomas to backup Julius Jones and also snagged QB Drew
    Bledsoe to run his offense for 2005, however, Parcells main focus
    during the off season was to fix what ailed his defense which allowed
    406 points in 2004. Parcells appears to have been successful with a
    quality draft head lined by picking up DE Demarcus Ware, DE Marcus
    Spears and LB Kevin Burnett with his top three selections in the draft.

           Overall Parcells had an excellent draft and used six of his eight
    draft selections on defensive players which should serve to shore up
    a shaky pass rush which allowed opposing QB’s time to toss 31 TD’
    s last year. The Giants threw last season away by using QB Eli
    Manning under center earlier than they probably should have,
    however, the playing experience gained in 2004 should serve
    Manning well this season and especially since QB Kurt Warner is
    now in Arizona which means that Manning will not be looking over
    this shoulder.

           The Giants only had four draft choices which was the fewest
    amount in franchise history, however, they were able to pick up CB
    Corey Webster out of LSU in the second round, Webster should have
    been a top 10 or top 15 pick but fell to the Giants with the overall 43rd
    pick in the draft due to injuries sustained in College, the G-Men used
    free agency to bring in QB Tim Hasselbeck to back up Manning and
    signed a go-to WR in former Steeler Plaxico Burress for Manning to
    play catch with.

           By not addressing glaring needs on offense Washington
    appears set to bring up the rear in the NFC East for 2005, last year
    Skin HC Joe Gibbs brought in former Jag QB Mark Brunell to run his
    offense, however in the nine games Brunell started last year he only
    completed 49.79% of his passes and at seasons end finished with a
    QB rating of 63.90.

           In contrast QB Patrick Ramsey started seven games in 2004 and
    completed 62.13% of his tosses which was good enough to post a
    QB rating of 74.8, the Skins used their second draft selection on QB
    Jason Campbell out of Auburn which was probably a bit of a reach as
    Campbell will need lots of work, however, it doesn’t take a rocket
    scientist to see that Patrick Ramsey will be the starting QB for 2005.

           Regardless of whether the Skins decide to go with either Mark
    Brunell or Patrick Ramsey at QB for 2005, Washington still needs to
    fix their offensive line play which was atrocious to say the least and
    was the main reason for the Skins averaging a meager 15 points
    scored per contest last year.

           The Skin defense appeared set to be the bright spot for this
    team once again in 2005, however, the arrest of safety Sean Taylor
    on gun charges, the free agent loss of CB Fred Smoot and the off
    season ankle injury/stress fracture to top draft choice CB Carlos
    Rogers leaves that open to debate.

           In closing the Eagles posted an overall mark of 15-4 straight up
    and 12-7 ATS last year, I fully expect to see the public back these
    Eagles in most outings in 2005, however, a check of last season
    shows that 3 of the Eagles 4 straight up losses occurred against
    AFC teams and 4 of the Eagles 7 spread losses came against the
    AFC.

           A check of the past three seasons reveals the fact that Philly has
    only lost a total of 14 games in this time frame, however, 7 of those
    14 losses came at the hands of AFC teams, and to think that in the
    past three years these Eagles only played AFC teams a total of 13
    times!!

           This of course leads me to believe that 2005 road games at
    Kansas City and at Denver might very well be prime spots to go
    against Philly and especially if the Eagles are installed as road
    favorites when considering that the Eagles have gone 4-9 ATS overall
    against AFC teams over the past three seasons, in road games (not
    counting the SB) against AFC teams during this same time span
    Philly posted a mark of 2-4 ATS.

           I would be careful in picking my spots with regard to Dallas, New
    York, and Washington this season until after the fourth game of the
    year because of the QB situation at each location, with that being
    said keep an eye on the Cowboys who could very well end up being
    the surprise team in this division as well as in the NFC this year if QB
    Drew Bledsoe can remain healthy and the Dallas defense shapes
    up like I think they will.

           Jim Campbell is one of the nations most respected Sports
    Handicappers, he specializes in College and Pro Football, you can
    visit Jim at his website located at footballforecastor.com for all of your
    handicapping needs including free play selections, College and NFL
    stats, trends and award winning analysis on upcoming games.

           With over 30 plus years experience in the handicapping
    profession Jim has built a solid reputation, his web based
    handicapping service at footballforecastor.com as been in existence
    since 1997 and year after year proves to be one of the very best
    handicapping services in America
2005 Nfl NFC East preview
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